2026 United States Senate election in Tennessee
 | This article documents a current election. Information may change rapidly as the election progresses until official results have been published. Initial news reports may be unreliable, and the last updates to this article may not reflect the most current information. |
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November 3, 2026
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| Elections in Tennessee |
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 Government |
The 2026 United States Senate election in Tennessee will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Tennessee. Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty is seeking a second term. He is being challenged by Democratic activist Marquita Bradshaw in a rematch of 2020.
In the August 6 primary elections, Hagerty was unopposed for the Republican nomination. Bradshaw won the Democratic nomination over former state party director Maria Brewer with 54.8% of the vote.
Democrats have not won a Senate election in Tennessee since 1990.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bill Hagerty, incumbent U.S. senator (2021–present)[1][2]
Endorsements
[edit]Bill Hagerty
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[3]
- U.S. senators
- Marsha Blackburn, Tennessee (2019–present)[4]
- Statewide officials
- Local officials
- Glenn Jacobs, former mayor of Knox County (2018–2026)[5]
- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Bill Hagerty (R) | $15,967,647 | $10,788,276 | $5,234,429 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[7] | |||
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Hagerty (incumbent) | 629,194 | 100.0 | |
| Write-in | 1 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 629,195 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Marquita Bradshaw, staffing consultant and nominee for this seat in 2020 and candidate in 2024[2]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Maria Brewer (D) | $9,068 | $3,734 | $5,333 |
| Civil Miller-Watkins (D) | $6,398 | $4,895 | $3,008 |
| Marquita Bradshaw (D) | $2,257 | $1,293 | $1,042 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[7] | |||
Results
[edit]
Bradshaw
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Brewer
- 30–40%
Miller-Watkins
- 50–60%
Tie
- 30-40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Marquita Bradshaw | 186,230 | 54.8 | |
| Democratic | Maria Brewer | 61,061 | 18.0 | |
| Democratic | Kevin Lee McCants | 34,234 | 10.1 | |
| Democratic | Civil Miller-Watkins | 29,596 | 8.7 | |
| Democratic | Diana Onyejiaka | 28,805 | 8.5 | |
| Total votes | 339,926 | 100.0 | ||
Independents and third-party candidates
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Tharon Chandler, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2024 and Democratic nominee for Tennessee's 7th congressional district in 2016[2]
- Andrew Gerena, technician[2]
- Jeremy Hearn[2]
- Robert Jones, small business owner[12]
- James Macon III[2]
- Yoshi Matthews, nonprofit founder[13][2]
- David Sutman Jr.[14][2]
- Catherine Whitson[2]
- Andrew Woodruff Mixon, former Honorary Mayor of Hampton (2025) (Federalist Party)[15]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[16] | Solid R | November 2, 2026 |
| Decision Desk HQ[17] | Safe R | November 2, 2026 |
| The Economist[18][a] | Safe R | November 2, 2026 |
| FiftyPlusOne[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2026 |
| Fox News[20] | Solid R | November 1, 2026 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Solid R | October 29, 2026 |
| MS NOW[22][23] | Safe R | October 29, 2026 |
| NBC News[24] | Solid R | November 2, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics[25] | Solid R | November 2, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Safe R | November 2, 2026 |
| Silver Bulletin[27] | Solid R | November 2, 2026 |
| Split Ticket[28] | Safe R | November 2, 2026 |
Post-primary endorsements
[edit]Marquita Bradshaw (D)
- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Bill Hagerty (R) | $17,226,961 | $12,325,565 | $4,956,455 |
| Marquita Bradshaw (D) | $35,195 | $27,022 | $8,252 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[7] | |||
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Bill Hagerty (R) |
Marquita Bradshaw (D) |
Other[c] | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[30][A] | October 24 – November 2, 2026 | 718 (LV) | ± 3.58% | 57% | 37% | 3%[d] | 3% |
| Targoz Market Research[31][A] | August 15–26, 2026 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 2.77% | 51% | 31% | 6%[e] | 12% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Hagerty (incumbent) | ||||
| Democratic | Marquita Bradshaw | ||||
| Independent | Tharon Chandler | ||||
| Independent | Andrew Gerena | ||||
| Independent | Jeremy Hearn | ||||
| Independent | Robert Jones | ||||
| Independent | James Macon III | ||||
| Independent | Yoshi Matthews | ||||
| Independent | David Sutman Jr. | ||||
| Independent | Catherine Whitson | ||||
| Independent | Andrew Mixon | ||||
| Total votes | 100.0 | ||||
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ↑ The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.
- ↑ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
- ↑ "An independent candidate" with 6%
- Partisan clients
References
[edit]- ↑ Feinberg, Allie (February 11, 2025). "U.S. Sen. Bill Hagerty will seek reelection, quashing talk of a run for Tennessee governor". Knoxville News Sentinel. Gannett. Retrieved August 23, 2025.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 "Candidate Lists | Tennessee Secretary of State". sos.tn.gov. Retrieved March 17, 2026.
- ↑ Roth, Samantha-Jo (September 1, 2025). "Trump's endorsements are influencing high-stakes 2026 primaries". Washington Examiner. Retrieved November 16, 2025.
- 1 2 "Sen. Bill Hagerty to seek second term". WJHL | Tri-Cities News & Weather. February 12, 2025. Archived from the original on February 14, 2025. Retrieved May 6, 2025.
- ↑ Feinberg, Allie. "U.S. Sen. Bill Hagerty will seek reelection, quashing talk of a run for Tennessee governor". Knoxville News Sentinel. Retrieved May 6, 2025.
- ↑ "Senate Conservatives Fund". www.senateconservatives.com. Retrieved November 25, 2025.
- 1 2 3 "2026 Election United States Senate - Tennessee". FEC.gov. Retrieved May 6, 2025.
- 1 2 "Tennessee U.S. Primary Election Results". The New York Times. August 6, 2026. Retrieved August 8, 2026.
- ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1951762". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved March 5, 2026.
- ↑ "Meet Kevin Lee". Retrieved June 12, 2026.
- ↑ Feinberg, Allie (January 7, 2026). "Nashville Democrat Diana Onyejiaka is running for U.S. Senate". Knox News. Retrieved January 10, 2026.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1951670". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved March 5, 2026.
- ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1935558". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved January 26, 2026.
- ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1953419". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved March 16, 2026.
- ↑ "MIXON, ANDREW WOODRUFF FEC FORM 2 STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY FILING FEC-1905307".
- ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Senate Ratings". Decision Desk HQ. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". The Economist. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Congressional Forecast". FiftyPlusOne. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
- ↑ Numa, Rémy (November 1, 2026). "Fox News Power Rankings: Kansas moves to Toss-up, Nebraska moves to Lean R". Fox News. Retrieved November 1, 2026.
- ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
- ↑ Khanna, Kabir; Thomas, Shawna (October 29, 2026) [August 19, 2026]. "2026 Senate ratings: MS NOW's races to watch". MS NOW. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
- ↑ MS NOW shifts Senate races in SC, MS. MS NOW. October 29, 2026. Retrieved November 2, 2026 – via YouTube.
- ↑ "The race for Congress: 2026 midterms". NBC News. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2026". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
- ↑ Silver, Nate; McKown-Dawson, Eli (November 2, 2026) [August 11, 2026]. "FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast". Silver Bulletin. Retrieved November 2, 2026 – via Substack.
- ↑ "Split Ticket 2026 Midterms Model". The Argument. Retrieved November 2, 2026 – via Substack.
- ↑ "2026 Federal Endorsements". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved September 16, 2026.
- ↑ Ellison, Randy (November 2, 2026). "Tennessee Poll: Blackburn Leads Green by 19 Points, Hagerty Leads Bradshaw by 20 Points". Targoz Market Research. Retrieved November 3, 2026.
- ↑ "Beacon Poll of Tennessee Registered Voters Aug. 15 to 26, 2026 MOE +/- 2.77%" (PDF). TennSight. August 28, 2026. Retrieved September 3, 2026.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites