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2026 United States Senate election in Kansas

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2026 United States Senate election in Kansas
← 2020
November 3, 2026
2032 →
Reporting
95%
as of 8:08 AM CST[1]
 
Nominee Adam Hamilton Roger Marshall
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 556,414 503,230
Percentage 50.9% 46.1%
U.S. senator before election

Roger Marshall
Republican

 Elected U.S. senator

Adam Hamilton
Democratic

The 2026 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Kansas. Democratic pastor Adam Hamilton won the seat, defeating Republican incumbent Roger Marshall[2] and becoming the first Democratic candidate to win a U.S. Senate race in Kansas since 1932.

In the August 4 primary elections, Marshall won the Republican nomination against minimal opposition with 79.9% of the vote. Hamilton, the senior pastor and founder of the United Methodist Church of the Resurrection, won the Democratic nomination with 34.6% of the vote among a field of eight candidates.

Background

[edit]

Though generally considered to be a red state,[3][4] Kansas has shown greater competitiveness over time due to shifts in the traditionally Republican-leaning Kansas City suburbs.[5] While Republicans control both houses of the Kansas Legislature,[6] Democrats control the governorship of Kansas, which they flipped from Republican control in 2018, and held in 2022.[4] Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate since 1932.[4] Incumbent senator Roger Marshall was elected in 2020 with 53.2% of the vote, winning by 11.4% despite expectations of a close race.[7][8]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Arch Naramore, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2004[10] (endorsed Hamilton in general election)[11]

Endorsements

[edit]
Roger Marshall
Executive branch officials
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Roger Marshall (R) $5,528,510 $957,210 $4,781,258
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Results

[edit]
Primary results by county:
  Marshall
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Roger Marshall (incumbent) 270,632 79.9
Republican Arch Naramore 68,100 20.1
Total votes 338,732 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Adam Hamilton
Statewide officials
Local officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Christy Davis (D) $80,478 $38,100 $85,910
Adam Hamilton (D) $3,678,710 $1,081,012 $2,597,697
Jason Hart (D) $51,127 $32,910 $18,216
Kevin Latz (D) $37,759 $8,696 $54,385
Erik Murray (D) $209,762 $199,781 $9,980
Lois Parelkar (D) $32,140 $28,839 $3,301
Patrick Schmidt (D) $244,347 $219,434 $24,912
Sandy Spidel Neumann (D) $309,765 $234,887 $74,877
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Christy
Davis		 Adam
Hamilton		 Patrick
Schmidt		 Noah Taylor Other Undecided
GBAO (D)[32][A] July 13–16, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 13% 30% 5% 10% 7%[b] 35%
Change Research (D)[33][B] June 11–15, 2026 1,022 (LV) ± 3.0% 10% 18% 7% 3% 6%[c] 55%

Results

[edit]
Primary results by county:
  Hamilton
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Davis
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   80–90%
  Taylor
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Murray
  •   30–40%
  Schmidt
  •   20–30%
  Tie
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adam Hamilton 77,607 34.6
Democratic Christy Davis 31,857 14.2
Democratic Noah Taylor 30,362 13.6
Democratic Anne Parelkar 16,836 7.5
Democratic Erik Murray 15,177 6.8
Democratic Patrick Schmidt 13,403 6.0
Democratic Sandy Spidel Neumann 12,717 5.7
Democratic Jason Hart 12,412 5.5
Democratic Damon Anderson 5,879 2.6
Democratic Kevin Latz 4,110 1.8
Democratic Michael Soetaert 3,716 1.7
Total votes 224,076 100.0

Third-party and independent candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

General election

[edit]

An issue raised during the campaign was Roger Marshall's history of suing over 700 of his patients for unpaid bills while he worked as an OB/GYN in Kansas. The New York Times reported that in at least 81 cases, patients were arrested at the request of Marshall's lawyers for failure to appear in court for their unpaid debts. There were 13 additional cases where an arrest warrant was requested, but the outcome is unknown. The New York Times additionally interviewed several of the patients who were sued by Marshall, most of whom said they lived paycheck-to-paycheck and did not have the money to pay the bills.[35] Hamilton produced an advertisement featuring a woman who said she was arrested for missing a $50 payment to Marshall. The Marshall campaign sent a letter alleging the ad was "defamatory" because the woman was arrested for failing to appear in court over larger debts to him, rather than for missing one bill, and that she was subject to several other court proceedings.[36][37][38]

The election received national attention for the use of an antisemitic slur by President Donald Trump during a Marshall campaign rally in order to deflect allegations about the issue.[39][40][41][42] Former Republican representative Barbara Comstock said that "Trump once again lets loose his anti-Semitic rhetoric" in the incident.[43] The White House did not respond to a request for comment about the President's use of "shylock".[43] It was not the first time that Trump had used the term in the campaign trail, and he had also received criticism for its use in 2025, when he had claimed that he was unaware that the term was an antisemitic slur against Jews.[43] A statement denouncing the incident, though not denouncing Trump by name was released by the Anti-Defamation League.[44][45]

The Kansas City Star described the Marshall and Hamilton campaigns as making several exaggerated or false claims regarding Jeffrey Epstein, the Epstein files, and a case of sexual abuse at Church of the Resurrection.[46]

Debates

[edit]
2026 United States Senate election in Kansas debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Roger Marshall Adam Hamilton
1 September 12, 2026[47] WIBW
Kansas Radio Networks		 Michael Schwanke YouTube P P
2 October 21, 2026[48] FOX4 John Holt YouTube P P

September 12

[edit]

The first debate was informal, and held at the Kansas State Fair.[49]

It was marked by a "raucous" and "vocal" crowd "that was far more loudly opposed to the incumbent U.S. senator."[49]

October 21

[edit]

FOX4 hosted the October debate. Economic issues, including gas prices, inflation, tariffs, and the American affordability crisis were the leading topics of the debate.[50] Marshall called for maintaining high taxes on imports and other tariffs, while Hamilton argued that they were a form of taxation that "functioned as an unpredictable tax on Kansans".[50]

Foreign policy was also a central issue in the debate. Marshall supported continued operations in the Iran War, while Hamilton called for an exit as soon as it was sufficiently possible.[50] Marshall defended Trump's agreement to get diesel from and his attempts to geopolitically reapproach Russia, while Hamilton claimed it would be "selling out our allies, the Ukrainians" in the current Russo-Ukrainian war.[50] Marshall referred to Israel as "one of America's greatest allies".[50]

Marshall expressed support for a "light touch" on AI regulation and said that America must achieve superintelligence in the arms race before China.[50] Hamilton argued that progress in artificial intelligence poses a "potential existential threat to the human race" and that "we can't just go with a light touch and hope everybody does their very best".[50]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
ABC News[51] Tossup October 26, 2026
CBS News[52] Lean R October 30, 2026
The Cook Political Report[53] Tossup November 2, 2026
Decision Desk HQ[54] Tossup November 2, 2026
The Economist[55][d] Tossup November 2, 2026
FiftyPlusOne[56] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2026
Fox News[57] Tossup November 1, 2026
Inside Elections[58] Tossup October 29, 2026
MS NOW[59][60] Lean R October 29, 2026
NBC News[61] Tossup November 2, 2026
RealClearPolitics[62] Tossup November 2, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[63] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2026
Silver Bulletin[64] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2026
Split Ticket[65] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2026

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Adam Hamilton (D)
U.S. senators
Statewide officials
State legislators
Individuals
  • Arch Naramore, primary candidate for this seat (Republican)[11]
Labor unions
Organizations
Political parties
Newspapers

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of October 14, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Roger Marshall (R) $7,546,611 $6,946,763 $809,806
Adam Hamilton (D) $19,175,044 $16,300,681 $2,874,364
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Polling

[edit]
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Roger
Marshall (R)		 Adam
Hamilton (D)		 Other/
Undecided[e]		 Margin
270toWin[88] October 20 – November 1, 2026 November 3, 2026 45.2% 50.2% 4.6% Hamilton +5.0%
Decision Desk HQ[89] through November 1, 2026 November 3, 2026 45.6% 49.3% 5.1% Hamilton +3.7%
FiftyPlusOne[90] through November 1, 2026 November 3, 2026 45.4% 49.8% 4.8% Hamilton +3.4%
RealClearPolitics[91] October 13 – November 1, 2026 November 2, 2026 46.0% 50.1% 3.9% Hamilton +4.1%
Silver Bulletin[64] through November 1, 2026 November 3, 2026 45.8% 49.9% 4.3% Hamilton +4.1%
Average 45.4% 49.9% 4.7% Hamilton +4.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Roger
Marshall (R)		 Adam
Hamilton (D)		 David
Graham (L)		 Other Undecided
AtlasIntel[92] October 28 – November 1, 2026 2,038 (LV) ± 2.0% 45% 52% — 3%[f] 1%
Survey 160[93] October 27 – November 1, 2026 1,267 (LV) ± 3.6% 44%[g] 50% — 4% 2%
43% 50% — 4% 4%
1,339 (RV) 43%[g] 50% — 5% 2%
42% 49% — 4% 5%
New York Times/Siena University[94] October 27 – November 1, 2026 736 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 49% 4% 0% 3%
YouGov[95] October 26–29, 2026 2,092 (LV) ± 2.8% 49% 50% — 1% 0%
Emerson College[96] October 26–28, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47%[g] 50% 3% — —
45% 49% 3% — 3%
The Washington Post/SSPG[97][98] October 22–26, 2026 801 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% 52% 4% 1%[h] —
44% 54% — 2%[h] —
SSRS[99][C] October 20–26, 2026 838 (LV) ± 4.5% 45% 49% — 5%[i] 0%
RedBox Research (D)[100] October 20–23, 2026 1,301 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 45% 3% 3%[j] 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[101][102] October 13–14, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 48% 47% 3% — 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[103][104] October 9–10, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 47% 48% 3% — 2%
GBAO (D)[105][106][D] September 30 – October 4, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 46% 7% — —
44% 49% — — —
YouGov[107] September 24 – October 4, 2026 2,255 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 48% — 2%[k] 5%
New York Times/Siena University[108] September 22–30, 2026 605 (LV) ± 4.6% 45% 45% 5% 0% 6%
47% 46% — 0% 7%
Trafalgar Group (R)[109] September 29 – October 1, 2026 1,095 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 44% 2% — 10%
Emerson College[110][E] September 15–16, 2026 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 43% 45% 4% — 8%
Global Strategy Group (D)[111][F] September 13–16, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 49% — — —
43% 47% 5% — —
co/efficient (R)[112] September 8–10, 2026 915 (LV) ± 3.22% 49% 44% 2% — 5%
Global Strategy Group (D)[113][G] August 12–16, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 43% 44% 5% — 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[114][H] August 7–8, 2026 569 (LV) — 46% 45% — — —
August 4, 2026 Primary elections
GBAO (D)[115][D] July 8–13, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 43% — — 10%
Tavern Research (D)[116] January 26–28, 2026 1,013 (LV) ± 4.0% 54% 46% — — —
Hypothetical polling

Roger Marshall vs. Noah Taylor

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Roger
Marshall (R)		 Noah
Taylor (D)		 Undecided
Tavern Research (D)[116] January 26–28, 2026 1,013 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 45% —

Roger Marshall vs. Patrick Schmidt

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Roger
Marshall (R)		 Patrick
Schmidt (D)		 Undecided
GQR (D)[117][I] April 23–27, 2026 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 49% 45% 6%
Tavern Research (D)[116] January 26–28, 2026 1,013 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 45% —

Roger Marshall vs. Adam Hamilton (running as an independent)

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Roger
Marshall (R)		 Adam
Hamilton (I)		 Undecided
Tavern Research (D)[116] January 26–28, 2026 1,013 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 51% —

Results

[edit]
2026 United States Senate election in Kansas
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Roger Marshall (incumbent)
Democratic Adam Hamilton
Libertarian David Graham
Total votes

Notes

[edit]
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Erik Murray with 2%; Jason Hart, Kevin Latz, Sandy Neumann, Anne Parelkar and Mike Soetaert with 1%; Damon Anderson with 0%
  3. ↑ Erik Murray with 2%, Sandy Neumann with 1%, Anne Parelkar with 3%
  4. ↑ The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.
  5. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. ↑ "Other" with 2%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  7. 1 2 3 With voters who lean toward a given candidate
  8. 1 2 "Would not vote" with 1%
  9. ↑ "Neither" with 4%
  10. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; "Prefer not to answer" with 1%; "Did not vote in this race" with <1%
  11. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; "I will not vote in this race" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by Hamilton's campaign
  2. ↑ Poll commissioned by Civic Clarity
  3. ↑ Poll conducted for CNN
  4. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Hamilton's campaign
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  6. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Democratic Attorneys General Association
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by People over Politics Action
  8. ↑ Poll sponsored by Senate Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.S. Senate
  9. ↑ Poll sponsored by Schmidt's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ↑ "Kansas U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved November 4, 2026.
  2. ↑ "Democrat Adam Hamilton pulls off upset over GOP Sen. Roger Marshall in Kansas". NBC News. November 3, 2026. Retrieved November 4, 2026.
  3. ↑ Rahman, Billal (September 24, 2026). "Roger Marshall Speaks Out Against ICE as GOP Fears It Could Lose Kansas". Newsweek. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  4. 1 2 3 Bidgood, Jess (September 14, 2026). "Vance Campaigns in Kansas as Democrats Target a Republican Stronghold". The New York Times. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  5. ↑ Glueck, Katie (October 5, 2026). "Pastor's Senate Primary Win Gives Democrats a Ray of Hope in Deep-Red Kansas". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved October 9, 2026.
  6. ↑ Alatidd, Jason (November 6, 2024). "What happened to GOP supermajorities? Kansas Republicans appear to win big". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  7. ↑ "Kansas 2020 Senate election results". CNN. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  8. ↑ Bustillo, Ximena (November 3, 2020). "Marshall keeps Kansas Senate seat in Republican hands". Politico. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  9. ↑ Ketz, Jonathan (July 11, 2025). "Senator Roger Marshall plans to run for reelection". WDAF-TV. Retrieved July 29, 2025.
  10. ↑ Carpenter, Tim (July 6, 2026). "'I'll feel better about myself': Kansas Republican makes second U.S. Senate run against an incumbent". Kansas Reflector. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  11. 1 2 Balk, Tim (September 24, 2026). "Arch Naramore, a centrist Republican who staged a long-shot primary challenge against Senator Roger Marshall of Kansas, said today that he was endorsing Marshall's Democratic opponent, the Rev. Adam Hamilton". The New York Times. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  12. ↑ "Trump endorses Kansas politicians Roger Marshall, Derek Schmidt, Tracey Mann". The Topeka Capital-Journal. July 9, 2025. Retrieved September 13, 2025.
  13. ↑ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Archived from the original on July 29, 2022. Retrieved April 28, 2025.
  14. ↑ "Senate Conservatives Fund 2026 Endorsements". Senate Conservatives Fund. Retrieved January 19, 2026.
  15. 1 2 3 "2026 Election United States Senate - Kansas". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved February 6, 2026.
  16. ↑ Kelly, Matthew; Bayless, Kacen. "Popular KC-area pastor launches challenge to Roger Marshall - with a twist". The Star. McClatchy Media. Retrieved April 30, 2026.
  17. ↑ Kelly, Matthew; Bayless, Kacen (February 27, 2026). "Popular KC-area pastor considers independent Senate run to unseat Roger Marshall". Kansas City Star. Retrieved February 27, 2026.
  18. 1 2 3 4 "Kansas Secretary of State | Elections | Candidate Lists". www.sos.ks.gov. Retrieved April 14, 2026.
  19. ↑ Carpenter, Tim (August 18, 2025). "Democratic U.S. Senate candidate eager to broaden Kansas voice in D.C. politics". Kansas Reflector. Retrieved August 19, 2025.
  20. ↑ Alatidd, Jason (March 11, 2026). "Kansas prosecutor Jason Hart joins Senate race, eyes Trump and Marshall". Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved March 17, 2026.
  21. ↑ Cooper, Brad (December 3, 2025). "KCK developer announces for U.S. Senate as Democratic primary grows to five". Sunflower State Journal. Retrieved December 3, 2025.
  22. 1 2 Kaminski, Anna (August 25, 2025). "Democratic immigration lawyer wants to fix broken system with run for U.S. Senate in Kansas". Kansas Reflector. Retrieved August 27, 2025.
  23. ↑ Alatidd, Jason (February 4, 2026). "Topeka Democrat joins US Senate primary to challenge Roger Marshall". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved February 4, 2026.
  24. ↑ Cooper, Brad (October 16, 2025). "Democrat launches bid for U.S. Senate, expands party primary to four". Sunflower State Journal. Retrieved October 16, 2025.
  25. ↑ Saldanha-Olson, Stacey (March 17, 2026). "Afghanistan veteran Noah Taylor enters U.S. Senate race for Kansas". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved March 17, 2026.
  26. ↑ Resnick, Matt (May 13, 2025). "Holscher eyes run for governor or US Senate in 2026". State Affairs. Retrieved July 3, 2025.
  27. ↑ Shorman, Jonathan (June 12, 2025). "This Overland Park Democrat is launching a campaign for Kansas governor". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved June 12, 2025.
  28. ↑ Kraske, Steve; Marvine, Josh (November 23, 2024). "Kansas Gov. Laura Kelly says she's 'absolutely not' running for another political office". KCUR-FM. Retrieved December 1, 2024.
  29. ↑ Carpenter, Tim (May 11, 2026). "Kansas Democrat makes reelection campaign for U.S. House seat official • Kansas Reflector". Kansas Reflector. Retrieved May 12, 2026.
  30. ↑ Alatidd, Jason (July 28, 2026). "Running in Democratic primary, Adam Hamilton courts Republican voters". USA Today. Retrieved August 13, 2026.
  31. ↑ "🎥KCMO mayor gives an endorsement in Kan. U.S. Senate race". Hutch Post. July 29, 2026. Retrieved September 18, 2026.
  32. ↑ "Adam Hamilton Best-Known, Most Popular, & Leading The Primary". GBAO. July 20, 2026. Retrieved July 22, 2026 – via DocumentCloud.
  33. ↑ Anderson, Jason (June 19, 2026). "We Paid for a Poll. Here's What It Found". Capitol Bee. Retrieved June 22, 2026.
  34. ↑ "Candidates for the 2026 General". Kansas Secretary of State. Archived from the original on May 1, 2026. Retrieved September 18, 2026.
  35. ↑ Kliff, Sarah (September 8, 2026). "A Doctor Sued 700 Patients for Debts; 81 Were Arrested. Now He's a Senator". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved September 29, 2026.
  36. ↑ Kaminski, Anna (September 28, 2026). "Roger Marshall alleges defamation in new ad about former Kansas patient arrested while in debt • Kansas Reflector". Kansas Reflector. Retrieved September 29, 2026.
  37. ↑ Hudnall, David (September 29, 2026). "With new defamation threat, Roger Marshall is making a bad story worse". Kansas City Star.
  38. ↑ Alatidd, Jason. "What to know about Roger Marshall patient featured in Adam Hamilton ad". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved September 29, 2026.
  39. ↑ Hills, Grace (October 20, 2026). "Trump used antisemitic slur in Kansas while defending Marshall's lawsuits against patients". KCUR - Kansas City news and NPR. Retrieved October 21, 2026.
  40. ↑ Gorelick, Evan (October 20, 2026). "Trump Invokes Antisemitic Trope Again at Rally for Kansas Senator". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved October 21, 2026.
  41. ↑ "Trump Uses Antisemitic Slur to Defend GOP Senator in Combative Speech". Bloomberg News. October 20, 2026. Retrieved October 21, 2026.
  42. ↑ Hartmann, Margaret (October 20, 2026). "Trump Helps Out by Dropping Antisemitic Slur at Kansas Rally". Intelligencer. Retrieved October 21, 2026.
  43. 1 2 3 "Trump criticized for again using antisemitic term 'Shylock' during speech at a rally". The Times of Israel. ISSN 0040-7909. Retrieved October 21, 2026.
  44. ↑ Valdez, Ana (October 21, 2026). "Jewish community responds after President Trump uses antisemitic slur at Wichita rally". KWCH. Retrieved October 21, 2026.
  45. ↑ Mackey, Robert (October 20, 2026). "ADL condemns Trump's antisemitic slur but fails to mention him by name". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved October 21, 2026.
  46. ↑ Hudnall, David (October 14, 2026). "Fact check: Marshall TV ad accusing Hamilton of protecting child sexual predator". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved October 21, 2026.
  47. ↑ Smith, Angela (September 10, 2026). "Candidates for Kansas governor, U.S. Senate debate at Kansas State Fair". KWCH-DT. Retrieved September 13, 2026.
  48. ↑ Eyermann, Delaney; Johnson, Olivia; Lynch, Andrew (October 21, 2026). "Replay: Sen. Roger Marshall debates Adam Hamilton in US Senate race". KSNT. Retrieved October 21, 2026.
  49. 1 2 Rankin, Jason Alatidd and Charles. "Roger Marshall and Adam Hamilton debate with raucous state fair crowd". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved October 22, 2026.
  50. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Koranda, Stephen (October 22, 2026). "Marshall and Hamilton clash at last debate". KCUR - Kansas City news and NPR. Retrieved October 22, 2026.
  51. ↑ Pecorin, Allison (October 26, 2026). "These key Senate races will determine which party controls the body next year". ABC News. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  52. ↑ "U.S. Senate: Battleground Races". CBS News. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  53. ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  54. ↑ "2026 Senate Ratings". Decision Desk HQ. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  55. ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". The Economist. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  56. ↑ "2026 Congressional Forecast". FiftyPlusOne. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  57. ↑ Numa, Rémy (November 1, 2026). "Fox News Power Rankings: Kansas moves to Toss-up, Nebraska moves to Lean R". Fox News. Retrieved November 1, 2026.
  58. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  59. ↑ Khanna, Kabir; Thomas, Shawna (October 29, 2026) [August 19, 2026]. "2026 Senate ratings: MS NOW's races to watch". MS NOW. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  60. ↑ MS NOW shifts Senate races in SC, MS. MS NOW. October 29, 2026. Retrieved November 2, 2026 – via YouTube.
  61. ↑ "The race for Congress: 2026 midterms". NBC News. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  62. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2026". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  63. ↑ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  64. 1 2 Silver, Nate; McKown-Dawson, Eli (November 2, 2026) [August 11, 2026]. "FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast". Silver Bulletin. Retrieved November 2, 2026 – via Substack.
  65. ↑ "Split Ticket 2026 Midterms Model". The Argument. Retrieved November 2, 2026 – via Substack.
  66. ↑ "🎥Vice President campaigns in Kansas for Roger Marshall". Great Bend Post. September 15, 2026. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  67. ↑ Wirestone, Clay (October 12, 2026). "A beginner's guide to the strange stories swirling around U.S. Sen. Roger Marshall of Kansas". Kansas Reflector. Retrieved October 12, 2026.
  68. 1 2 "Powerful union backs Marshall in Kansas U.S. Senate showdown". Salina Post. September 4, 2026. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  69. ↑ "BLET National President Wallace and First Vice President Best meet with Senator Roger Marshall". Brotherhood Of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen. August 4, 2026. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  70. 1 2 Cooper, Brad (August 17, 2026). "Transportation workers dole out endorsements; back Marshall and Hamilton in Senate race". Sunflower State Journal. Retrieved September 16, 2026.
  71. ↑ "CPAC endorses Roger Marshall for U.S. Senate". Facebook. September 19, 2026. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  72. ↑ "Endorsements & Voter Guide". Kansas Family Voice. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  73. ↑ "KFB's VOTE FBF endorses Sen. Marshall for U.S. Senate". Kansas Farm Bureau. August 26, 2026. Retrieved September 16, 2026.
  74. ↑ "Kansas". NRA Political Victory Fund. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  75. ↑ Balk, Tim (October 29, 2026). "Former Senator Sheila Frahm of Kansas, a moderate Republican, endorsed the Rev. Adam Hamilton ..." The New York Times. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
  76. ↑ "Kansas live primary results: Rev. Adam Hamilton will face GOP Sen. Roger Marshall". ABC News. Retrieved September 18, 2026.
  77. 1 2 3 Lefler, Dion (October 3, 2026). "Sen. Roger Marshall has an ex-governors problem in reelection campaign". The Wichita Eagle. Retrieved November 1, 2026 – via AOL.com.
  78. ↑ Newton, Ryan (September 9, 2026). "Former Republican Kansas governor endorses Adam Hamilton in US Senate race". KSNW. Retrieved September 9, 2026.
  79. ↑ Hayden, Mike (October 2, 2026). "2nd Republican former Kansas gov. backs Democrat Hamilton for Senate". The Wichita Eagle. Retrieved October 2, 2026.
  80. 1 2 3 "Over 100 Prominent Kansas Republican Leaders Launch 'Republicans for Hamilton' Coalition in Race for U.S. Senate Seat". The Kansas City Globe. October 8, 2026. Retrieved November 1, 2026.
  81. ↑ Vinick, Gaby (October 15, 2026). "Democratic Senate candidate Adam Hamilton says he's fighting for the 'rights of all people'". ABC News. Retrieved November 1, 2026.
  82. ↑ "Largest Federal Employee Union Endorses Kansas' Adam Hamilton for U.S. Senate and Cindy Holscher for Governor". American Federation of Government Employees. September 9, 2026. Retrieved September 16, 2026.
  83. 1 2 3 4 "Endorsements for Adam Hamilton - Kansas Democratic Party Candidate". bluevoterguide.org. Retrieved September 18, 2026.
  84. ↑ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved October 31, 2026.
  85. ↑ "Kansas". UAW Power. Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  86. ↑ "Adam Hamilton". J Street PAC. Retrieved October 20, 2026.
  87. ↑ "Jewish Dems Endorsed Candidates". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved September 25, 2026.
  88. ↑ "2026 Polls: Kansas Senate". 270toWin. Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  89. ↑ "2026 Kansas Senate Polling". Decision Desk HQ. Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  90. ↑ "Kansas General Senate Election". FiftyPlusOne. Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  91. ↑ "2026 Kansas Senate - Marshall vs. Hamilton". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  92. ↑ "USA: Kansas Atlas/Pollstergraph Poll". AtlasIntel. November 2, 2026.
  93. ↑ Collins, Kevin; Dawahare, Alex; Castorena, Oscar; Frydman, Alejandro (November 2, 2026). "Survey 160 pre-election surveys in four states". Survey 160. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  94. ↑ "Toplines: October 2026 Times/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in Kansas". The New York Times. November 1, 2026. Retrieved November 1, 2026.
  95. ↑ "Kansas General Election 2026 – Likely Voters" (PDF). YouGov. November 1, 2026. Retrieved November 1, 2026.
  96. ↑ "October 2026 Kansas Poll: Hamilton Maintains Edge over Marshall in Toss-up Election". Emerson College. October 30, 2026. Retrieved October 30, 2026.
  97. ↑ Clement, Scott (October 30, 2026). "We polled Kansas. Democrats wanted to talk. Republicans, not so much". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 30, 2026.
  98. ↑ "Washington Post/Schar School Poll" (PDF). The Washington Post. Retrieved October 31, 2026.
  99. ↑ "CNN poll conducted by SSRS Kansas October". CNN. October 29, 2026. Retrieved October 29, 2026 – via DocumentCloud.
  100. ↑ "Marshall and Hamilton are tied for Senate". October 25, 2026. Retrieved October 26, 2026.
  101. ↑ "InsiderAdvantage Senate Surveys: Texas, Paxton 49, Talarico 48; Kansas, Marshall 48%, Hamilton 47%; Maine, Jackson 49, Collins 47;Update: All Conducted 10/13-14". InsiderAdvantage. October 15, 2026. Retrieved October 15, 2026.
  102. ↑ InsiderAdvantage [@InsiderPolling] (October 16, 2026). "Kansas Survey of Likely Voters" (Tweet). Retrieved October 16, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  103. ↑ "InsiderAdvantage U.S. Senate Surveys: Alaska (Ranks Choice) Peltola 50%, Sullivan 48%; Kansas Hamilton 48%, Marshall, 47%; Michigan El-Sayed 48%, Rogers 46%". October 11, 2026. Retrieved October 11, 2026.
  104. ↑ InsiderAdvantage [@InsiderPolling] (October 11, 2026). "Kansas Top Line Tabs" (Tweet). Retrieved October 11, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  105. ↑ "Adam Hamilton Leads +5 In Kansas" (PDF). GBAO. October 6, 2026. Retrieved October 7, 2026 – via Politico.
  106. ↑ Benson, Samuel [@sambbenson] (October 7, 2026). "New KS-SEN poll" (Tweet). Retrieved October 7, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  107. ↑ "Kansas General Election 2026 – Likely Voters" (PDF). YouGov. Retrieved October 6, 2026.
  108. ↑ "Toplines: September 2026 Times/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in Kansas". NYTimes. October 2, 2026. Retrieved October 3, 2026.
  109. ↑ "KS Senate General Election Poll, Sept-Oct 2026". Trafalgar Group. October 2, 2026. Retrieved October 2, 2026.
  110. ↑ "Kansas 2026: Hamilton and Marshall in Tight Senate Race; Masterson Leads for Governor". Emerson College. September 18, 2026. Retrieved September 18, 2026.
  111. ↑ "New Poll Results: Kansas Attorney General Race is Highly Competitive" (PDF). Global Strategy Group. October 2, 2026. Retrieved October 2, 2026 – via Politico.
  112. ↑ "Kansas U.S. Senate | Senate Battlegrounds 2026". co/efficient. Retrieved September 11, 2026.
  113. ↑ Cohen, Max [@maxpcohen] (September 2, 2026). "Kansas polling watch: GSG poll finds Dem Adam Hamilton leading GOP Sen. Roger Marshall 44-43 and Libertarian candidate polling 5% of vote" (Tweet). Retrieved September 2, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  114. ↑ Wren, Adam; Burns, Dasha; Steakin, Will (August 12, 2026). "Newsom's swing (and miss) state tour". Politico. Retrieved August 12, 2026.
  115. ↑ "Adam Hamilton Within Reach Of Roger Marshall". GBAO. July 24, 2026. Retrieved August 9, 2026 – via Politico.
  116. 1 2 3 4 "Kansas Toplines" (PDF). Tavern Research. April 17, 2026. Retrieved April 18, 2026.
  117. ↑ Rubashkin, Jacob [@JacobRubashkin] (May 7, 2026). "New Kansas poll released by the Patrick Schmidt campaign finds a surprisingly close general election vs. GOP Sen. Roger Marshall. Marshall 49 Schmidt 45 Trump fav/unfav 45/51 Marshall fav/unfav 35/42 500 LVs, 4/23-27, mixed mode Schmidt is running in a crowded Dem primary" (Tweet). Retrieved May 8, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
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