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2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

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2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

← 2024
November 3, 2026
2028 →

All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Seats before 5 1
Seats won 4 2
Seat change Decrease 1 Increase 1

The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 3, 2026, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on May 19, 2026.[1] Democrats gained one seat, winning the sixth district.

District 1

[edit]
2026 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election

← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee James Comer Drew Williams
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 154,910 74,260
Percentage 67.60% 32.40%

U.S. representative before election

James Comer
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

James Comer
Republican

The 1st district is based in Western Kentucky, and stretches into Central Kentucky, taking in Henderson, Hopkinsville, Madisonville, Paducah, Murray, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 74.7% of the vote in 2024.[2]

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
James Comer

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
James Comer (R) $1,478,703 $1,588,676 $3,099,249
David Sims (R) $1,800 $1501 $298
Source: Federal Election Commission[7]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James R. Comer (incumbent) 77,678 88.1
Republican David Sims 5,068 5.7
Republican Robert James Sutherby 2,774 3.1
Republican Penny Arcos 2,645 3.0
Total votes 88,165 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • John "Drew" Williams, event organizer[9]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Drew Williams (D) $79,747 $68,318 $11,387
Source: Federal Election Commission[7]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[10] Safe R July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[12] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R June 3, 2025

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
James Comer (R)

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of October 14, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
James Comer (R) $2,318,361 $3,904,151 $1,623,432
Drew Williams (D) $223,180 $213,881 $7,977
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Results

[edit]
2026 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican James R. Comer (incumbent) 154,910 67.60 −7.12
Democratic John "Drew" Williams 74,260 32.40 +7.12
Total votes 229,170 100.0 N/A
Republican hold

District 2

[edit]
2026 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election

← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Brett Guthrie Megan Wingfield
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 145,139 81,112
Percentage 62.82% 35.10%

U.S. representative before election

Brett Guthrie
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican

The 2nd district is located in west central Kentucky, and includes Bowling Green, Owensboro, Elizabethtown, and a portion of eastern Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 73.1% of the vote in 2024.[2]

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Joshua Ferguson, former constable[17]
  • G. "Shay" Perry-Adelmann, former teacher, community activist and candidate for Jefferson County school board district three in 2022[4]

Endorsements

[edit]
Brett Guthrie

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Joshua Ferguson (R) $7,078 $7,013 $65
Brett Guthrie (R) $4,193,324 $2,898,393 $1,661,176
Shay Perry-Adelmann (R) $100,500 $1,483 $99,117
Source: Federal Election Commission[18]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican S. Brett Guthrie (incumbent) 65,176 85.4
Republican Joshua M. Ferguson 7,187 9.4
Republican G. "Shay" Perry-Adelmann 3,963 5.2
Total votes 76,326 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Megan Wingfield, mechanic[19]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
William Compton

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
William Compton (D) $62,061 $58,437 $271
Hank Linderman (D) $3,800 $23,339 $2,023
Source: Federal Election Commission[18]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Megan Wingfield 16,330 40.7
Democratic Hank Linderman 8,401 20.9
Democratic David S. Hatfield 8,254 20.6
Democratic William Dakota Compton 7,126 17.8
Total votes 40,111 100.0

Independent candidates

[edit]
  • Thomas A. Loecken[23]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[10] Safe R July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[12] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R June 3, 2025

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Megan Wingfield (D)

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of October 14, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brett Guthrie (R) $5,986,647 $4,905,596 $1,447,296
Megan Wingfield (D) $9,584 $7,832 $1,271
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Results

[edit]
2026 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican S. Brett Guthrie (incumbent) 145,139 62.82 −10.29
Democratic Megan Wingfield 81,112 35.10 +8.21
Independent Thomas A. Loecken 4,807 2.08 N/A
Total votes 231,058 100.0 N/A
Republican hold

District 3

[edit]
2026 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election

← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Morgan McGarvey Maria Rodriguez
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 174,781 73,719
Percentage 70.33% 29.67%

U.S. representative before election

Morgan McGarvey
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Morgan McGarvey
Democratic

The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of Louisville Metro, which, since the merger of 2003, is consolidated with Jefferson County, though other incorporated cities, such as Shively and St. Matthews, exist within the county. The incumbent is Democrat Morgan McGarvey, who was re-elected with 61.9% of the vote in 2024.[2]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Jared Randall, community activist[4]

Endorsements

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Morgan McGarvey (D) $1,448,999 $986,553 $1,725,862
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Maria Rodriguez, cleaning contractor[4]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Daniel Cobble, carpet cleaner and perennial candidate[4]
  • David Nichter[4]
  • Donald Pay, entrepreneur and author[4]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Donald Pay (R) $2,546 $2,254 $291
Maria Rodriguez (R) $18,620 $3,057 $15,562
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Maria Teresa Rodriguez 15,855 48.2
Republican David Joseph Nichter 6,807 20.7
Republican Daniel Cobble 5,893 17.9
Republican Donald Pay 4,313 13.1
Total votes 32,868 100.0

Independent candidates

[edit]

Did not qualify

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Oumou Diallo (I) $2,493 $1,312 $1,180
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[10] Safe D July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid D February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[12] Solid D March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe D June 3, 2025

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Morgan McGarvey (D)
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of October 14, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Morgan McGarvey (D) $1,998,328 $1,327,900 $1,933,846
Maria Rodriguez (R) $75,079 $42,618 $32,361
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Results

[edit]
2026 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Morgan McGarvey (incumbent) 174,781 70.33 +8.39
Republican Maria Teresa Rodriguez 73,719 29.67 −8.37
Total votes 248,500 100.0 N/A
Democratic hold

District 4

[edit]
2026 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election

← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Ed Gallrein Melissa Strange
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 137,623 103,713
Percentage 54.22% 40.86%

U.S. representative before election

Thomas Massie
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Ed Gallrein
Republican

The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state, along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and the eastern suburbs of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024.[2]

Republican primary

[edit]

Thomas Massie, a libertarian Republican first elected in 2012, has frequently clashed with Donald Trump on fiscal and international issues both during and between his terms as president.[32][33] By March 2025, Trump had openly called for a primary challenge to Massie in response to his votes on the 2025 federal budget.[34] Other high-profile clashes between the two have included Massie's vote against the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, his advocacy for the release of the Epstein files, and his condemnation of U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear sites.[35][36]

On October 17, 2025, Trump endorsed farmer and retired Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein for the seat.[37] On October 21, Gallrein announced his candidacy, challenging Massie.[38] On May 11, 2026, the primary became the most expensive U.S. House primary in American history, with over $25.6 million in ad spending beating the prior record of $25.2 million from the Democratic primary for New York's 16th congressional district in 2024.[39] By May 17, ad spending exceeded $32 million, with pro-Israel interest groups accounting for over $9 million of the spending against Massie.[40] Massie described the primary election as a "referendum on whether Israel gets to buy seats in Congress,"[41] while others described it as a referendum on Trump.[42]

During the campaign, pro-Massie and pro-Gallrein PACs both used AI-generated political ads to attack each other's campaigns.[43][44] One AI-generated ad from pro-Gallrein PAC MAGA KY included imagery of Massie having a threesome with pro-Palestinian Democratic representatives Ilhan Omar and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.[45] Massie, Omar, and former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene condemned the ad, with Greene accusing the ad of violating the TAKE IT DOWN Act.[45] On May 16, a pro-Trump group announced that Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth would visit Kentucky to raise support for Gallrein. Hegseth's move was accused by critics of violating the Hatch Act, which the White House denied.[46] During the campaign, Gallrein declined to debate Massie, ignored most interview requests, and conducted few public rallies.[47][48][49]

On May 19, Gallrein obtained the Republican nomination, defeating Massie 54.9% to 45.1%. Massie conceded the election on election night, joking in his concession speech that "it took a while to find Ed Gallrein in Tel Aviv."[50] AIPAC later sent out an announcement on X, stating that "support for America's alliance with Israel is good policy and good politics."[51]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Niki Lee Ethington, registered nurse[53]
  • Dennis Jackson, farmer
  • Robert Wells, physician[4]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ed Gallrein

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Thomas Massie

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Declined to endorse

Statewide officials

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ed
Gallrein
Thomas
Massie
Other Undecided
Big Data Poll (R)[76] May 16–18, 2026 587 (LV) ± 4.0% 50%[b] 50% − −
44% 43% − 13%
Grayhouse (R)[77] May 16–17, 2026 435 (LV) ± 4.7% 51% 44% − 5%
Big Data Poll (R)[78] May 15–17, 2026 555 (LV) ± 4.0% 50%[b] 50% − −
44% 43% − 13%
SoCal Strategies (R)[79] May 15–16, 2026 450 (LV) – 49% 42% − 9%
Big Data Poll (R)[80] May 14–16, 2026 510 (LV) ± 4.0% 49%[b] 51% − −
43% 44% − 13%
Neighborhood Research and Media (R)[81] May 12–15, 2026 291 (LV) ± 6.0% 39% 39% − 22%
Big Data Poll (R)[82] May 12–14, 2026 518 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 51% − −
Quantus Insights (R)[83] May 11–12, 2026 908 (LV) ± 3.3% 53%[b] 45% − 2%
48% 43% − 8%
Quantus Insights (R)[84] April 6–7, 2026 438 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 47% 2%[c] 14%
Big Data Poll (R)[85] April 3–7, 2026 433 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 52% – –
Hypothetical polling

Thomas Massie vs. Niki Lee Ethington

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Thomas
Massie
Niki Lee
Ethington
Undecided
Kaplan Strategies (R)[86] June 23–24, 2025 368 (LV) ± 5.1% 19% 31% 50%

Thomas Massie vs. "Trump-endorsed Republican"

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Thomas
Massie
Trump-endorsed
Republican
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[87][A] June 2025 – – 23% 52% 25%

Fundraising

[edit]

Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.

Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ed Gallrein (R) $3,163,892 $2,620,239 $543,653
Dennis Jackson (R) $2,590 $2,590 $0
Thomas Massie (R) $5,541,900 $5,840,666 $608,244
Robert Wells (R) $113,241 $94,102 $19,139
Source: Federal Election Commission[88]

Debate

[edit]
2026 Kentucky's 4th district congressional debate
Date Host Moderators Republican Republican
Key:  P  Participant   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
 A  Absent   N  Not invited 
Thomas Massie Ed Gallrein
May 4, 2026[89] Kentucky Educational Television Renee Shaw P A

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Gallrein
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Massie
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ed Gallrein 57,822 54.9
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent) 47,539 45.1
Total votes 105,361 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Melissa Strange, businesswoman[90]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Jesse Brewer, inventory management professional[91]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Monica Dean, project manager[92]

Fundraising

[edit]

Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.

Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jesse Brewer (D) $9,680 $9,722 $0
Monica Dean (D) $9,189 $5,518 $3,671
Melissa Strange (D) $69,085 $56,277 $12,808
Source: Federal Election Commission[88]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Melissa Claire Strange 30,108 72.4
Democratic Jesse Russell Brewer 11,461 27.6
Total votes 41,569 100.0

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Jeremy Todd, salesperson[23]

Kentucky Party

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Mohammad Wael Ahmad[23]

Write-in candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Peter Harmon Williams[23]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[10] Safe R July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[12] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R June 3, 2025

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Melissa Strange (D)
Jeremy Todd (L)

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Political parties

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of October 14, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ed Gallrein (R) $4,095,784 $3,662,249 $433,535
Melissa Strange (D) $157,330 $123,485 $40,742
Jeremy Todd (L) $30,838 $27,449 $3,389
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Results

[edit]
2026 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Ed Gallrein 137,623 54.22 −45.38
Democratic Melissa Claire Strange 103,713 40.86 N/A
Libertarian Jeremy Todd 12,484 4.92 N/A
Write-in 15 0.01 N/A
Total votes 253,835 100.0 N/A
Republican hold

District 5

[edit]
2026 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election

← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Hal Rogers Ned Pillersdorf
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 139,808 49,805
Percentage 71.16% 25.35%

U.S. representative before election

Hal Rogers
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Hal Rogers
Republican

The 5th district is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican House dean Hal Rogers, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024.[2]

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Benjamin Hurley, real estate agent[98]
  • Brandon Monhollon, realtor and veteran[4]
  • Jerry Lee Shelton, electrician and Crab Orchard city commissioner[4]
  • Kevin Smith, political strategist[99]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Hal Rogers

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Hal Rogers (R) $747,740 $858,906 $860,086
Kevin Smith (R) $110,370 $90,131 $20,238
Source: Federal Election Commission[102]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent) 81,554 77.4
Republican Kevin Smith 12,312 11.7
Republican Benjamin Hurley 5,537 5.3
Republican Brandon R. Monhollon 3,458 3.3
Republican Jerry Lee Shelton 2,464 2.3
Total votes 105,325 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ned Pillersdorf

Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ned Pillersdorf (D) $115,581 $32,060 $83,521
Source: Federal Election Commission[102]

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Write-in candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Billy Ray Wilson, veteran and activist[4]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[10] Safe R July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[12] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R June 3, 2025

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Hal Rogers

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Ned Pillersdorf

Statewide officials

Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of October 14, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Hal Rogers (R) $1,026,114 $1,295,442 $701,924
Ned Pillersdorf (D) $377,089 $270,620 $106,494
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Results

[edit]
2026 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent) 139,808 71.16 −28.84
Democratic Ned Pillersdorf 49,805 25.35 N/A
Independent Mikel Wein 4,117 2.10 N/A
Independent Gerardo Serrano 2,738 1.39 N/A
Write-in 6 0.00 N/A
Total votes 196,474 100.0 N/A
Republican hold

District 6

[edit]
2026 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election

← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Zach Dembo Ralph Alvarado
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 138,777 114,030
Percentage 52.65% 43.27%

U.S. representative before election

Andy Barr
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Zach Dembo
Democratic

The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Georgetown. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 63.0% of the vote in 2024.[2]

On April 22, 2025, Barr announced that he would run for U.S. Senate in 2026.[106]

Democrats last won this district in 2010, when Ben Chandler was narrowly reelected.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Ryan Dotson, state representative from the 73rd district[108]
  • Greg Plucinski, pharmaceutical entrepreneur[109]
  • Steve Shannon[4]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ralph Alvarado

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Organizations

Ryan Dotson

U.S. representatives

Fundraising

[edit]

Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ralph Alvarado (R) $808,804 $256,554 $552,250
Adam Perez Arquette (R) $4,990,948 $1,672,032 $1,656,948
Ryan Dotson (R) $517,084 $221,413 $295,671
Deanna Gordon (R) $372,174 $101,051 $271,123
Greg Plucinski (R) $620,019 $389,451 $230,568
Source: Federal Election Commission[119]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ralph
Alvarado
Adam Perez
Arquette
Ryan
Dotson
Greg
Plucinski
Steve
Shannon
Undecided
May 12, 2026 Arquette withdraws from the race
1892 Polling (R)[120][B] May 4–7, 2026 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 38% 1% 15% 8% 3% 35%
1892 Polling (R)[120][B] April 6–8, 2026 – (LV) – 32% 0% 11% 6% 1% 50%
1892 Polling (R)[120][B] February 10–12, 2026 – (LV) – 21% 1% 13% 0% 2% 63%

Debates

[edit]
2026 Republican primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Ralph Alvarado Adam Perez Arquette Ryan Dotson Greg Plucinski Steve Shannon
1 February 26, 2026 Spectrum News 1 Kentucky Mario Anderson P N P N N

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Alvarado
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ralph Alvarado 36,217 56.5
Republican Ryan Dotson 16,897 26.4
Republican Gregory George Plucinski 5,670 8.8
Republican Steve Shannon 3,980 6.2
Republican Adam Perez Arquette (withdrawn) 1,332 2.1
Total votes 64,096 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Zach Dembo

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Erin Petrey
Cherlynn Stevenson

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Zach Dembo (D) $552,182 $208,900 $343,282
David Kloiber (D) $195,955 $51,340 $144,614
Erin Petrey (D) $174,307 $53,721 $120,585
Cherlynn Stevenson (D) $453,005 $328,062 $125,118
Source: Federal Election Commission[119]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jimmy
Ausbrooks
Zach
Dembo
Corey
Edwards
David
Kloiber
Erin
Petrey
Cherlynn
Stevenson
Other Undecided
Normington Petts (D)[133][C] April 6–9, 2026 430 (LV) ± 4.9% 2% 13% 4% 2% 6% 27% 1%[d] 44%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Zach Dembo 26,858 39.6
Democratic Cherlynn Stevenson 21,312 31.5
Democratic Erin Petrey 10,703 15.8
Democratic David Kloiber 3,041 4.5
Democratic Corey Edwards 2,952 4.4
Democratic Harvey Carroll Jr. 1,958 2.9
Democratic Jimmy Clifton Ausbrooks 940 1.4
Total votes 67,764 100.0

Third-party and indepedents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[10] Tossup November 3, 2026
The Cook Political Report[11] Tossup October 23, 2026
Inside Elections[12] Tossup October 29, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Lean R November 2, 2026

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Zach Dembo (D)

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of October 14, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ralph Alvarado (R) $2,307,369 $2,126,558 $180,812
Zach Dembo (D) $3,205,462 $2,585,132 $620,330
Jay Bowman (I) $18,958 $18,183 $216
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ralph
Alvarado (R)
Zach
Dembo (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[146][D] October 19–20, 2026 572 (LV) — 41% 47% — 12%
DCCC (D)[147] October 2–5, 2026 606 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 46% 6%[e] 8%
Change Research (D)[148][E] September 29 – October 5, 2026 524 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 47% 7%[f] 8%
Lake Research Partners (D)[150][D] September 30 – October 4, 2026 400 (LV) — 40% 47% 4%[g] 10%
45% 48% — 7%
GQR (D)[151][F] September 25–30, 2026 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 37% 42% 11%[h] 9%
43% 46%[b] — 11
Lake Research Partners (D)[152][D] August 17–23, 2026 400 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 45% — 11%
DCCC (D)[153][D] July 29–30, 2026 474 (V) ± 4.5% 47% 47% — 6%
GQR (D)[154][F] June 24–28, 2026 440 (V) — 42% 39% — 19%
May 19, 2026 Primary elections
Public Policy Polling (D)[155][F] April 24–25, 2026 675 (RV) ± 3.8% 37% 37% — 26%
Hypothetical polling

Ralph Alvarado vs. Cherlynn Stevenson

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ralph
Alvarado (R)
Cherlynn
Stevenson (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[155][F] April 24–25, 2026 675 (RV) ± 3.8% 37% 36% 27%

Ryan Dotson vs. Zach Dembo

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ryan
Dotson (R)
Zach
Dembo (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[155][F] April 24–25, 2026 675 (RV) ± 3.8% 33% 38% 29%

Ryan Dotson vs. Cherlynn Stevenson

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ryan
Dotson (R)
Cherlynn
Stevenson (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[155][F] April 24–25, 2026 675 (RV) ± 3.8% 37% 36% 27%

Results

[edit]
2026 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Zach Dembo 138,777 52.65 +15.69
Republican Ralph Alvarado 114,030 43.27 −19.77
Independent Jay J. Bowman 6,710 2.55 N/A
Kentucky Pete Lynch 3,836 1.46 N/A
Write-in 208 0.08 N/A
Total votes 263,561 100.0 N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

Notes

[edit]
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  3. ↑ "Would not vote" with 2%
  4. ↑ Harvey Carroll with 1%
  5. ↑ Jay Bowman (I) with 5%; Pete Lynch (KP) with 1%
  6. ↑ "A third-party candidate" with 7%
  7. ↑ Jay Bowman (I) with 3%; Pete Lynch (KP) with 1%
  8. ↑ Jay Bowman (I) & Pete Lynch (KP) together with 11%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by MAGA PAC, which opposes Massie.
  2. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Alvarado's campaign
  3. ↑ Poll commissioned by EMILY's List, which supports Stevenson
  4. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by the House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.S. House of Representatives
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by Kentuckians Not Corruption, which supports Dembo[149]
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll sponsored by Dembo's campaign

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ↑ "2026 State Primary Election Dates". NCSL. May 9, 2025. Retrieved August 5, 2025.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2024 House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 2, 2024.
  3. ↑ Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (February 12, 2025). "Morning Digest: Mitch McConnell hasn't said he's retiring, but everyone's acting like it". Downballot. Retrieved February 12, 2025. Rep. James Comer recently informed Spectrum News' Mario Anderson that he'll seek reelection to the House in 2026, though he added that he's considering running for governor the following year.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "Election Candidate Filings - US Representative". web.sos.ky.gov. Retrieved January 18, 2026.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Eichholz, Jack (January 7, 2026). "2026 Endorsement Tracker". VoteHub. Retrieved March 21, 2026.
  6. 1 2 3 4 "Thank You for Supporting Pro-Israel Candidates". Retrieved February 8, 2026.
  7. 1 2 "2026 Election United States House - Kentucky 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved February 27, 2026.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Official 2026 Primary Election Results" (PDF). Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved June 15, 2026.
  9. ↑ Barrett, Alexis (May 27, 2025). "John "Drew" Williams announces bid for U.S. House in Kentucky's 1st District". WPSD-TV. Retrieved May 27, 2025.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2026 House Ratings". Decision Desk HQ. Retrieved July 15, 2026.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2026 CPR House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 6, 2025.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2026 House Ratings". Inside Elections.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2026 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 5, 2025.
  14. ↑ "Kentucky". United Mine Workers of America. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2026 Election United States House - Kentucky". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 25, 2026.
  16. ↑ "HON. S. Brett Brett Guthrie". FEC.gov. February 11, 2025. Retrieved June 28, 2025.
  17. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1924665". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved December 31, 2025.
  18. 1 2 "2026 Election United States House - Kentucky 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved February 27, 2026.
  19. ↑ "Guthrie talks protests, shutdown". Bowling Green Daily News. October 17, 2025. Retrieved November 3, 2025. ...Megan Wingfield — who is set to run in the Democratic primaries for Guthrie's position.
  20. ↑ Thomas, Stephen (July 31, 2025). "Good Trouble provided by local Democrats". pmg-ky1.com. Retrieved November 3, 2025. William Compton, a candidate planning to run against U.S. Rep. Brett Guthrie, also attended the event.
  21. 1 2 "Endorsements for 2026". Progressive Victory.
  22. 1 2 "Our Endorsed Candidates". Track AIPAC.
  23. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "2026 General Election Candidates". Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved July 1, 2026.
  24. 1 2 "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Archived from the original on September 1, 2026. Retrieved October 27, 2026.
  25. 1 2 Horn, Austin (April 24, 2025). "Thomas Massie, Hal Rogers & more: Where do KY's congressmen stand on reelection?". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved April 24, 2025.
  26. ↑ "CANDIDATES". JAC. Archived from the original on November 21, 2025. Retrieved November 23, 2025.
  27. ↑ "LCV Action Fund Announces New Round of Endorsements for U.S. House of Representatives". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved February 6, 2026.
  28. ↑ "2026 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved April 8, 2026.
  29. 1 2 3 "2026 Election United States House - Kentucky 3rd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved February 27, 2026.
  30. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1904138". docquery.fec.gov.
  31. ↑ "Morgan McGarvey". Giffords. Retrieved September 3, 2026.
  32. ↑ Ackley, Kate (March 27, 2020). "Who is Thomas Massie and why does Trump want him thrown out of GOP?". Roll Call. Archived from the original on August 22, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  33. ↑ "Seven years of clashes define Thomas Massie's relationship with President Trump". Lexington Herald Ledger. July 21, 2025. Retrieved May 13, 2026.
  34. 1 2 Walker, Jackson (March 11, 2025). "Thomas Massie announces reelection bid as Trump vows to back primary challenger". The National Desk. Retrieved March 11, 2025.
  35. ↑ Horn, Austin (June 22, 2025). "KY Rep. Thomas Massie is at odds again with Trump over Iran. Here's the history". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved June 22, 2025.
  36. ↑ Goodman, Sylvia (May 11, 2026). "Massie or Gallrein? Kentucky voters to decide the true meaning of MAGA in heated GOP primary". Louisville Public Media. Retrieved May 13, 2026.
  37. ↑ "Ed Gallrein". Ballotpedia. Retrieved October 7, 2026.
  38. ↑ Wells, Jeremy (May 27, 2026). "President Trump wasn't about to lose in the Fourth District". Carter County Times. Retrieved October 7, 2026.
  39. ↑ Solender, Andrew (May 11, 2026). "Inside the wild $25 million fight to oust top GOP Trump critic Thomas Massie". Axios. Retrieved May 12, 2026.
  40. 1 2 Kashinsky, Lisa (May 17, 2026). "Massie's primary is the most expensive in history. Pro-Israel groups have played a huge part". Politico.
  41. ↑ Scanlan, Quinn (May 17, 2026). "Ahead of Tuesday primary, Trump target Massie says billionaires are trying to 'buy' his seat". ABC News.
  42. ↑ Smith, David (May 16, 2026). "Can a Republican defy Donald Trump and survive? Kentucky voters will decide". The Guardian.
  43. ↑ "The Massie-Gallrein race is not what most people think". Cincinnati.com. May 16, 2026.
  44. ↑ Sonka, Joe; Goodman, Sylvia (May 5, 2026). "AI 'deepfake' ads attack Massie and Gallrein in northern Kentucky GOP primary". Louisville Public Media.
  45. 1 2 Delaney, Arthur (May 4, 2026). "MAGA Attack Ad Uses AI To Show Thomas Massie 'Cheating With The Squad'". HuffPost.
  46. ↑ Aitken, Peter (May 17, 2026). "Pentagon Defends Hegseth Stumping Against Massie Amid Hatch Act Claims". Newsweek.
  47. 1 2 Draper, Robert (May 18, 2026). "In Kentucky, Fidelity to Trump Is Once Again on the Ballot". The New York Times.
  48. ↑ Almendarez, Jolene. "The Massie-Gallrein race is not what most people think". The Enquirer. Retrieved May 18, 2026.
  49. ↑ Doll, Keely. "Why Ed Gallrein isn't interested in debating Thomas Massie". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved May 18, 2026.
  50. ↑ Nash, Charlie (May 20, 2026). "Thomas Massie Mocks Ed Gallrein With Parting Shot After Conceding Kentucky Primary". Mediaite. Retrieved May 21, 2026.
  51. ↑ "AIPAC 🇺🇸🇮🇱 (@AIPAC) on X". X (formerly Twitter). June 3, 2026. Retrieved October 7, 2026.
  52. ↑ Horn, Austin (October 21, 2025). "Who is Ed Gallrein? Trump-endorsed candidate launches run against Thomas Massie". Lexington Herald Leader. Retrieved May 15, 2026.
  53. ↑ Almendarez, Jolene (May 21, 2025). "Trump said Thomas Massie should be voted out of office. Who's running against him?". The Cincinnati Enquirer. Retrieved May 21, 2025.
  54. ↑ Martin, Jonathan (September 13, 2025). "Trump Wants to Boot Out Massie. Could This Senate Candidate Be the Answer?". Politico. Retrieved September 13, 2025.
  55. ↑ Steinhauser, Paul; Sonkin, Jessica (May 18, 2026). "Hegseth unleashes on Massie in GOP primary showdown against Trump-backed Navy SEAL vet". FOX News. Retrieved May 18, 2026.
  56. ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa; Hill, Meredith Lee (October 17, 2025). "Trump endorses Massie challenger not yet in the primary race". Politico. Retrieved October 18, 2025.
  57. ↑ Aulbach, Lucas (February 5, 2026). "Andy Barr endorses Thomas Massie opponent in 2026 primary". The Courier-Journal. Louisville Courier Journal. Retrieved February 5, 2026.
  58. ↑ Nitzberg, Alex (May 20, 2026). "MTG says GOP's future 'destroyed' after Trump-backed primary challenger defeats Thomas Massie". FOX News. Retrieved May 20, 2026.
  59. ↑ "Barr spurns fellow KY GOP congressman Massie to endorse Trump-backed challenger". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved February 5, 2026. Thirty minutes after Barr's endorsement, a spokesperson for Morris sent a statement to the Herald-Leader announcing his support for Gallrein. "I've said repeatedly President Trump won a historic mandate in Kentucky and he needs allies he can trust in the House and Senate to deliver his agenda," Morris wrote. "I'm proud to support Ed Gallrein for Congress and look forward to working with him when he's in the House and I'm in the Senate to deliver the MAGA agenda."
  60. ↑ Horsley, McKenna (May 17, 2026). "Massie, Gallrein and more candidates make final pleas to Kentucky voters ahead of primary". Kentucky Lantern. Retrieved May 18, 2026.
  61. ↑ Pinski, Hannah (July 14, 2025). "Rand Paul says he'll endorse Thomas Massie in 2026 despite feud with Donald Trump". Courier Journal. Retrieved July 14, 2025.
  62. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "2026 Endorsement Tracker". VoteHub. May 7, 2026. Retrieved May 20, 2026.
  63. 1 2 "2026 Endorsement Tracker (Thomas Massie)". January 8, 2026. Retrieved May 18, 2026.
  64. ↑ Mollman, Steve (May 16, 2026). "Trump, MAGA Hardliners Attack Boebert for Backing Massie in GOP Primary". Newsweek.
  65. 1 2 Horsley, McKenna (May 17, 2026). "Massie, Gallrein and more candidates make final pleas to Kentucky voters ahead of primary". News From the States.
  66. ↑ McLaughlin, Seth (October 23, 2025). "MTG backs Rep. Massie against Trump's effort to oust him, warns of influence of pro-Israel donors". The Washington Times.
  67. ↑ Zurcher, Anthony (May 18, 2026). "Trump v Massie: Could president's Republican nemesis survive $20m attack to oust him?". BBC.
  68. ↑ "Endorsement war brews among Kentucky Republicans ahead of primary election". Leo Weekly. February 6, 2026.
  69. ↑ "Rep. Thomas Massie secures another endorsement ahead of primary". Fox 56. May 18, 2026.
  70. ↑ Almendarez, Jolene. "Ahead of Trump visit, 'liberty warriors' say they're for Massie". The Enquirer. Retrieved March 10, 2026.
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  72. ↑ King, Jordan (May 18, 2026). "Kyle Rittenhouse Volunteers for Thomas Massie, Sparks MAGA Fury". Newsweek.
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  101. 1 2 Mueller, Caroline (November 7, 2025). "Congressman Hal Rogers announces re-election bid". WYMT-TV. Retrieved November 19, 2025.
  102. 1 2 "2026 Election United States House - Kentucky 5th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved February 27, 2026.
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  107. 1 2 Horsley, McKenna (July 17, 2025). "2 new candidates — a physician politician and former federal prosecutor — enter US House race". Kentucky Lantern. Retrieved July 17, 2025.
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  138. 1 2 "Blue Dog PAC Endorses Six New Candidates Built to Win in Competitive Districts". August 11, 2026. Retrieved August 15, 2026.
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  140. ↑ "Sherrill unveils first set of midterm endorsements". Retrieved August 7, 2026.
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  142. ↑ "Zach Dembo". J Street PAC. Retrieved October 2, 2026.
  143. ↑ "Jewish Dems Endorsed Candidates". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved September 25, 2026.
  144. ↑ "LCV Action Fund Endorses New Slate of Candidates for U.S. House of Representatives and Senate". League of Conservation Voters. Washington, D.C. June 4, 2026. Retrieved October 25, 2026.
  145. ↑ "New Dems Endorse Four Candidates in Florida, Kentucky, Colorado". New Democrat Coalition Action Fund. Washington, D.C.: New Democrat Coalition. July 22, 2026. Retrieved October 25, 2026.
  146. ↑ Warnke, CJ (October 21, 2026). "🚨NEW from @washingtonsun🚨". Twitter. Retrieved October 22, 2026.
  147. ↑ "DCCC Polling Memo: Zach Dembo Continues to Lead in KY-06". DCCC. October 14, 2026. Retrieved October 14, 2026.
  148. ↑ "Recent Polling in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District". Change Research. October 8, 2026. Retrieved October 9, 2026.
  149. ↑ Cheves, John (October 1, 2026). "Flooded with ads for Central Kentucky's US House race? Thank these out-of-town PACs". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved October 9, 2026.
  150. ↑ Warnke, CJ (October 8, 2026). "🚨NEW @HouseMajPAC poll in #KY06🚨". Twitter. Retrieved October 9, 2026.
  151. ↑ Horsley, McKenna (October 2, 2026). "Internal poll shows Democrat Dembo leads GOP's Alvarado in central Kentucky House race". Kentucky Lantern. Retrieved October 3, 2026.
  152. ↑ "HMP MEMO: Polling Shows Path To A Larger Democratic Majority Exists With Necessary Funding". House Majority PAC. August 27, 2026. Retrieved August 31, 2026.
  153. ↑ Cheves, John (August 6, 2026). "New poll shows Zach Dembo, Ralph Alvarado tied in Central KY congressional race". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved August 7, 2026.
  154. ↑ Ali, Inshara (July 10, 2026). "Kentucky 6: New Poll Fuels Democratic Optimism". Inside Elections. Retrieved July 10, 2026.
  155. 1 2 3 4 Williams, Jim (April 28, 2026). "Zach Dembo Best-Positioned for General Election Victory in KY-6". Public Policy Polling. Retrieved May 13, 2026 – via Politico.
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