Kansas provided a good example of why I don't think mail-in ballot analysis will be useful if you're assuming it's the same as previous years.
26 primary was ~6.5% mail. That's the lowest since the 18 primary, which was 7.6% mail.
(Credit to Ike-lab)
- Kansas provided a good example of why I don't think mail-in ballot analysis will be useful if you're assuming it's the same as previous years. 26 primary was ~6.5% mail. That's the lowest since the 18 primary, which was 7.6% mail. (Credit to Ike-lab)
Early voting will almost certainly be a higher share of the vote in November. Unlike a primary, probably 80% of voters have made up their minds so voting early makes far more sense. I think DEM trust in mail-in voting has been eroded significantly, and will move to early