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Jackson Martin
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@JacksonMartinKS

Jackson Martin

@JacksonMartinKS
Hobbyist Election Forecaster, NFL appreciator, and Warhammer enjoyer. Particularly interested in Kansas Politics.
Overland Park, KS
jacksonmartinks.substack.com
Joined July 2026
115 Following
264 Followers
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  • Pinned
    @JacksonMartinKS
    Jackson Martin
    @JacksonMartinKS
    Sep 12
    #KSLEG 2026 state House Forecast update. There is a 87.4% Chance that the GOP supermajority breaks, with Democrats favored to flip 10 seats. Still a large number of close seats.
    3
  • @JacksonMartinKS
    Jackson Martin
    @JacksonMartinKS
    Oct 9
    Wait a minute.... is that.... a 0.1% chance... (I'm switching to the Silver Bulletin Generic Congressional Ballot average)
    1
  • @JacksonMartinKS
    Jackson Martin
    @JacksonMartinKS
    Oct 9
    Make Jalon Daniels the starter
  • @JacksonMartinKS
    Jackson Martin
    @JacksonMartinKS
    Oct 8
    Might Kansas.... Actually be seat #53?
    2
  • @JacksonMartinKS
    Jackson Martin
    @JacksonMartinKS
    Oct 8
    Kansas provided a good example of why I don't think mail-in ballot analysis will be useful if you're assuming it's the same as previous years. 26 primary was ~6.5% mail. That's the lowest since the 18 primary, which was 7.6% mail. (Credit to Ike-lab)
    1