Perhaps relevant to current handicapping: In 2018, voters who decided who to vote for at the very last minute were the most Democratic group in the electorate
- Perhaps relevant to current handicapping: In 2018, voters who decided who to vote for at the very last minute were the most Democratic group in the electorate
But curious to see what it will be in many of these Senate races in these Trump double digit states
If late deciders break D again it matters way more for the senate than the house. Polymarkets got D senate at 62.5%, down 5 pts this week, house is already 90.5
Was there an acute event that might explain a last minute shift (in the sense that such an event might not occur this time, and the shift with it?)