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G Elliott Morris
6,735 posts
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@gelliottmorris

G Elliott Morris

@gelliottmorris
data-driven journalist, pollster & author of the book & Substack STRENGTH IN NUMBERS. co-founder @50plus1news. pollster @wave_polling. email me not DM
gelliottmorris.com/welcome
Joined July 2009
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  • Pinned
    @gelliottmorris
    G Elliott Morris
    @gelliottmorris
    Jan 22
    Today I am publishing what I believe to be the most detailed available map of Trump's job approval rating. Powered by over 12,000 interviews for our Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll. I hope this generates many stories, and hours wasted exploring data! gelliottmorris.com/p/a-very-detai…
    82
  • @gelliottmorris
    G Elliott Morris
    @gelliottmorris
    12h
    Update on redistricting with some numbers from Strength In Numbers here
    Who Won the Redistricting War?
    From newyorker.com
    1
  • @gelliottmorris
    G Elliott Morris
    @gelliottmorris
    13h
    I am personally not sure what Trump's approval rating floor is, but it's definitely lower than pundits were predicting in early 2025. It is a possibility that he never gets above the mid-30s again (among all adults) fiftyplusone.news/polls/approval…
    8
  • @gelliottmorris
    G Elliott Morris
    @gelliottmorris
    13h
    good point (though potential confounder is hard-to-poll people are the ones Rs are trying to reach with ads)
    @brentbuc
    Brent Buchanan, Pollster
    @brentbuc
    Oct 9
    Despite holding a massive campaign cash advantage, only 24% of voters report seeing more Republican ads, while over 70% see more Democratic ads or an equal split. Ad volume does not equal ad recall when the message fails to stick. A cash advantage is useless if ad buys focus on
    1
  • @gelliottmorris
    G Elliott Morris
    @gelliottmorris
    Oct 8
    Perhaps relevant to current handicapping: In 2018, voters who decided who to vote for at the very last minute were the most Democratic group in the electorate
    8