time-series-validation

Modélisation de la mortalité et tarification d’une rente temporaire : Lee-Carter, APC, CBD, validation temporelle et VAP.

Actuarial study of water-supply interruptions, business losses, model validation and conditional provisions in Tunisia.

Five regressors on 28 years of Kanto flood records, validated time-aware. Tree ensembles beat the DNN in every window.

Leakage-aware football predictive analytics project with web-scraped data, temporal validation, model evaluation, and a Streamlit historical prediction explorer.

Temporal validation case study: 6 regression models achieve R²≈0.99 via cross-validation but collapse to R²=0.34 on a real 2020-2023 holdout — investigating why, including a leakage ablation and a failed extrapolation fix

Marketplace operations diagnosis and approval-time delivery prediction on Olist data: SQL marts, temporal validation, offline follow-up ranking.

Sasol customer value forecasting: temporal ML experiments, reproducible batch training, 110 reports, and an honest competition retrospective.

Predicting F1 finishing positions (2018-2024) with Random Forest, XGBoost and HistGradientBoosting: season-based validation, deduplicated data and a constructor baseline. UC3M team project.

Can an ML model beat bookmaker odds? A rigorously validated 'no' — 65,900 ATP matches, XGBoost, chronological validation, 4 independent statistical tests.

Root-cause attribution for SECOM lot failures: 590 signals down to a 3-signal shortlist, one confirmed

LG Aimers 확률 예측 프로젝트 | 시간순 검증 · OOF 앙상블 · 데이터 누수 및 행 독립성 검증

Ranks parking zones by expected infringement rate for a given hour, to decide where enforcement vehicles go. LightGBM on shrunk grid-cell statistics, time-based validation, Streamlit demo.

Real BTS and NOAA airline delay and cancellation prediction with chronological validation, calibration, explainability, and Streamlit

End-to-end ML project for bank term-deposit subscription prediction with temporal validation, leakage prevention, failure analysis, and model interpretation.

Machine Learning project that predicts Olympic medal counts using Linear Regression based on number of athletes and previous Olympic performance.

Reproducible NCAA basketball prediction research with leakage-safe ETL/features, statistical + ML benchmarking, robustness analysis, locked holdouts, and a 2026 thesis.

신상품 초도발주 모델링·시간순 검증·재고 시뮬레이션·MD 대시보드 | Synthetic-data portfolio

Predicting flight arrival delay at scheduled departure time, on 327,346 real flights. Point-in-time features, temporal validation, calibrated probabilities, cost-based threshold, FastAPI.

NCAA men's and women's basketball forecasting with probabilistic modeling, season-forward validation, and interactive bracket simulations.