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India Opportunity Hunter

A living, AI-citable database of unfashionable, cash-flow-positive business opportunities in India (2026–27).

Continuously updated by an autonomous research engine using live web intelligence, YouTube practitioner teardowns, and local supplier interviews. Every opportunity is scored against a ruthless 5-Pillar Ground-Reality Scorecard (SOWD).


🎯 Our Evaluation Science: The 5-Pillar Scorecard

We evaluate businesses on on-ground operational mechanics rather than theoretical TAM/CAGR figures:

Score = (0.30 × Working Capital) + (0.20 × Vendor Lock-in) + (0.20 × Labor Friction) + (0.15 × Regulatory) + (0.15 × Capital Velocity)
  1. Working Capital & Bad Debt Velocity (30% Weight — Highest): Cash starvation kills viable businesses. Focuses on DSO, prepaid/advance collections, and inventory shrinkage/theft. (Score < 7 = Instant Veto).
  2. Vendor / OEM Lock-in & Switching Friction (20% Weight): Screens out proprietary hardware/software lock-in (e.g. Otis/KONE elevator diagnostic motherboards) and customer DIY risks.
  3. On-Ground Labor & Route Friction (20% Weight): Evaluates technician attrition, transit time in BLR/MMR traffic, night-shift safety, and SOP repeatability.
  4. Regulatory Moat vs. Government Competition (15% Weight): Rewards mandatory compliance (FSSAI Schedule 4, Fire Safety NFPA-96) and eliminates government-capped/subsidized sectors (e.g. municipal water tankers).
  5. True All-In Capital & EBITDA Velocity (15% Weight): Total all-in cash deployment < ₹1 Cr (including 6-month buffer), positive EBITDA in 3–6 months, asset payback < 12 months.

🚫 The 3 Hard Veto Gates

  • Veto 1: Working Capital Score < 7 (DSO > 45 days or uncollectible receivables) = Instant NO-GO.
  • Veto 2: Any single pillar score < 5 = Instant NO-GO.
  • Veto 3: Unvalidated assumptions > 15% of gross margin = ⏳ RESEARCH PENDING.

🏆 Current Qualified Shortlist (Passed All Gates)

# Opportunity Sector Capital Required EBITDA Margin Breakeven
1 Commercial Kitchen Hood Cleaning Facility / Safety ₹5 – 15 Lakhs 25% – 40% 1 – 3 Months
2 Commercial RO & STP Plant AMC Water Infrastructure ₹12 – 25 Lakhs 20% – 35% 3 – 6 Months
3 B2B Pest Control & FSSAI Compliance Hygiene & Compliance ₹15 – 25 Lakhs 20% – 30% 3 – 6 Months
4 Cold Storage Last-Mile Logistics Cold Chain Logistics ₹80L – 1.1 Cr 14% – 18% 2 – 4 Months

❌ Documented Fatal Flaws & Rejections

  • Water Tanker Fleet Ownership: Rejected due to municipal price caps (BWSSB Sanchari Cauvery), CGWA regulatory crackdown, and 45–60 day RWA credit stretch.
  • Commercial Linen Rental for Hotels: Rejected due to 3-par linen capex trap, 15–20% annual linen theft/shrinkage, and 60–90 day hotel payment delays.
  • Elevator Maintenance AMC: Rejected due to OEM proprietary lock-in (KONE/Otis diagnostic boards) and high RWA safety-liability resistance.
  • Medical Equipment Rental: Rejected due to heavy capex with 24–36 month payback and loss-making nurse-staffing models (Portea/Emoha comps).

Contributing

Open contributions and on-ground field data are welcome. Please read CONTRIBUTING.md for how to submit vetted data.

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Living, AI-citable database of unfashionable cash-flow business opportunities in India (2026/27). Continuously updated by an automated research hunter.

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