Probability and Statistics: The Science of Uncertainty

Front Cover
Macmillan, 2004 - Mathematics - 685 pages
Unlike traditional introductory math/stat textbooks, Probability and Statistics: The Science of Uncertainty brings a modern flavor based on incorporating the computer to the course and an integrated approach to inference. From the start the book integrates simulations into its theoretical coverage, and emphasizes the use of computer-powered computation throughout.*

Math and science majors with just one year of calculus can use this text and experience a refreshing blend of applications and theory that goes beyond merely mastering the technicalities. They'll get a thorough grounding in probability theory, and go beyond that to the theory of statistical inference and its applications. An integrated approach to inference is presented that includes the frequency approach as well as Bayesian methodology. Bayesian inference is developed as a logical extension of likelihood methods. A separate chapter is devoted to the important topic of model checking and this is applied in the context of the standard applied statistical techniques. Examples of data analyses using real-world data are presented throughout the text. A final chapter introduces a number of the most important stochastic process models using elementary methods.

*Note: An appendix in the book contains Minitab code for more involved computations. The code can be used by students as templates for their own calculations. If a software package like Minitab is used with the course then no programming is required by the students.
 

Contents

Probability Models
1
Random Variables and Distributions
33
Expectation
123
Sampling Distributions and Limits
189
Statistical Inference
239
Likelihood Inference
281
Bayesian Inference
351
Optimal Inferences
405
Model Checking
449
Relationships Among Variables
479
Advanced Topic Stochastic Processes
579
Appendices
639
B Computations
647
Common Distributions
653
Index
677
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