Probability and Statistics: The Science of UncertaintyUnlike traditional introductory math/stat textbooks, Probability and Statistics: The Science of Uncertainty brings a modern flavor based on incorporating the computer to the course and an integrated approach to inference. From the start the book integrates simulations into its theoretical coverage, and emphasizes the use of computer-powered computation throughout.* Math and science majors with just one year of calculus can use this text and experience a refreshing blend of applications and theory that goes beyond merely mastering the technicalities. They'll get a thorough grounding in probability theory, and go beyond that to the theory of statistical inference and its applications. An integrated approach to inference is presented that includes the frequency approach as well as Bayesian methodology. Bayesian inference is developed as a logical extension of likelihood methods. A separate chapter is devoted to the important topic of model checking and this is applied in the context of the standard applied statistical techniques. Examples of data analyses using real-world data are presented throughout the text. A final chapter introduces a number of the most important stochastic process models using elementary methods. *Note: An appendix in the book contains Minitab code for more involved computations. The code can be used by students as templates for their own calculations. If a software package like Minitab is used with the course then no programming is required by the students. |
Contents
Probability Models | 1 |
Random Variables and Distributions | 33 |
Expectation | 123 |
Sampling Distributions and Limits | 189 |
Statistical Inference | 239 |
Likelihood Inference | 281 |
Bayesian Inference | 351 |
Optimal Inferences | 405 |
Other editions - View all
Probability and Statistics: The Science of Uncertainty Michael J. Evans,Jeffrey S. Rosenthal No preview available - 2010 |
Probability and Statistics: The Science of Uncertainty Michael J. Evans,Jeffrey S. Rosenthal No preview available - 2009 |
Common terms and phrases
absolutely continuous algorithm approximate assess B₁ Bayesian Bernoulli(0 coin Compute conditional distributions Consider converges cumulative distribution function defined Definition density function determine discrete random variable discussed equal estimate Example Figure finite Fisher information fx,y fx(x Gibbs sampling given Hence Hint independent inferences integer joint density likelihood function linear Markov chain mean moment-generating function normal distribution Normal Model normal probability plot Note null hypothesis observed obtained P-value P(Xn parameter population posterior distribution predictor prior predictive probability distribution probability function probability measure Problem Proof Prove quantitative real number regression model relationship result sample simple random standardized residuals statistical model sufficient statistic Summary of Section Suppose that x1,...,xn Theorem true value unknown Var(X variance X₁ Xn+1 y-confidence interval β₁ μ₁ μο σ² σλ ψ θ



